The Week 5 NFL schedule is stacked with nice matchups. Our NFL Nation reporters convey us the keys to each recreation, a daring prediction for every matchup and ultimate rating picks.
Moreover, ESPN Stats & Data supplies a stat to know for every recreation, and the Football Power Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a matchup ranking (on a scale of 1 to 100) and a recreation projection. ESPN Fantasy‘s Kyle Soppe and ESPN Chalk‘s Dave Bearman hand out useful nuggets as properly. It is all right here to assist get you prepared for a loaded weekend of NFL football.
Let’s get into the total Week 5 slate, together with a possible Tuesday recreation.
1 p.m. ET | CBS
Matchup ranking: 66.5 | Spread: KC -11 (55)
What to observe for: Can Raiders quarterback Derek Carr enhance his play at Arrowhead Stadium? That would appear vital if the Raiders are to beat the Chiefs in Kansas Metropolis for the primary time since 2012. Carr is 0-6 towards the Chiefs on the street, with 4 landing passes, seven interceptions, a QBR of 14.4 and a protracted cross of 33 yards. The Chiefs have modified gamers, coordinators, programs and techniques towards Carr, and the whole lot has continued to work. The Raiders have been outscored 75-12 in two video games towards the Chiefs at Arrowhead since Patrick Mahomes grew to become Kansas Metropolis’s beginning QB. — Adam Teicher
Daring prediction: Carr won’t be picked off and can prolong his interception-free streak to 9 video games. The final time Carr was intercepted was Dec. 1, 2019, when he was picked off twice … at Arrowhead Stadium. However he’s finishing passes at a 73.6% clip this season with brief, protected throws, and he must management the ball to maintain Mahomes off the sector. — Paul Gutierrez
Stat to know: Mahomes’ 89.1 Whole QBR towards the Raiders is his highest towards any staff that he has performed greater than as soon as, and his 11 passing touchdowns in 4 video games — by which he went 4-0 — is the best complete he has towards any NFL staff.
What to know for fantasy: Chiefs vast receiver Tyreek Hill is the primary Kansas Metropolis participant with no less than six targets and a TD reception in 4 straight video games since Dwayne Bowe did it in 5 straight in 2010. See Week 5 rankings.
Betting nugget: All 4 Raiders video games have gone over the whole this season. Read more.
Gutierrez’s choose: Chiefs 29, Raiders 12
Teicher’s choose: Chiefs 27, Raiders 17
FPI prediction: KC, 82.1% (by a median of 12.7 factors)
1 p.m. ET | CBS
Matchup ranking: 55.8 | Spread: BAL -13 (51)
What to observe for: Can Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow proceed his unprecedented begin this week towards the Ravens? He set an NFL document on Sunday by changing into the primary rookie quarterback in NFL historical past to throw for 300 or extra yards in three straight video games. Since John Harbaugh grew to become coach of the Ravens in 2008, Baltimore is 12-1 towards rookie QBs at residence, permitting simply 4 to surpass 300 yards passing. The Ravens even have recorded 16 interceptions towards rookie starters in Baltimore through the Harbaugh period, whereas producing 5 instances as many sacks (36) as TD passes given up (seven). — Jamison Hensley
Daring prediction: The Ravens will rush for 200 complete yards. One of many strongest rush offenses within the league goes up towards one of many league’s worst dashing defenses. Between that and the dashing capacity of Baltimore quarterback Lamar Jackson, it might be an enormous day for the Ravens’ floor recreation. — Ben Child
Stat to know: The Bengals have not gone three straight video games with out a loss in a single season since beginning 8-0 in 2015, and so they have not had consecutive wins since Weeks 4 and 5 of the 2018 season.
What to know for fantasy: Cincinnati operating again Joe Mixon has did not common over 4.0 yards per carry in 4 straight matchups with the Ravens. In these video games, he has averaged 3.1 yards per carry, with no rush gaining greater than 21 yards. See Week 5 rankings.
Betting nugget: Jackson is 4-8 ATS as a house favourite since changing into the Ravens’ beginning QB in 2018. Read more.
Child’s choose: Ravens 40, Bengals 21
Hensley’s choose: Ravens 27, Bengals 17
FPI prediction: BAL, 81.6% (by a median of 12.4 factors)
1 p.m. ET | Fox
Matchup ranking: 49.3 | Spread: PIT -7 (43.5)
What to observe for: The Steelers are fired up after not attending to play in Week 4 due to a COVID-19 outbreak in Tennessee. The staff was on a roll to start out the season at 3-0, and it trying to go 4-0 for the primary time since 1979 — a season that resulted in a Tremendous Bowl. Search for the Steelers to unleash the frustration of final week whereas additionally attempting to get again into the rhythm of a balanced offense and a complementary protection they established within the Week 3 win towards the Texans. — Brooke Pryor
Daring prediction: The Steelers and Eagles will mix for eight complete sacks. Philadelphia (17) and Pittsburgh (15) are Nos. 1 and No. 2 in sacks on the quarter mark of the season. The cross rush that comes up the largest on Sunday will swing the result of this recreation. One explicit matchup to control is Eagles left sort out Jordan Mailata towards Bud Dupree. Mailata is making his second profession begin, and Dupree has registered 2.5 takedowns by means of three video games this season. — Tim McManus
Stat to know: Pittsburgh quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has seven passing touchdowns by means of his staff’s first three video games, whereas Philadelphia signal-caller Carson Wentz has seven interceptions by means of his squad’s opening 4 contests. Wentz’s seven picks are essentially the most within the NFL.
What to know for fantasy: Since Week 15 of the 2017 season, simply as soon as has a participant rushed for 90 yards towards the Steelers in Pittsburgh. See Week 5 rankings.
Betting nugget: Philadelphia is 3-0 ATS towards Pittsburgh since 2008. Read more.
McManus’ choose: Steelers 24, Eagles 20
Pryor’s choose: Steelers 27, Eagles 10
FPI prediction: PIT, 67.9% (by a median of 6.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Ex-Aussie rugby player Mailata taking shape for Eagles … Roethlisberger frustrated by COVID-19 impact on Steelers’ schedule … Eagles’ Slay says NFL shouldn’t have played but now OK with protocols … Steelers allowing 5,500 fans into Heinz Field on Sunday … The NFC East is 3-12-1: Here is the big issue and a fix for each team
1 p.m. ET | Fox
Matchup ranking: 44.8 | Spread: LAR -7 (45.5)
What to observe for: All eyes will likely be on new Washington beginning quarterback Kyle Allen‘s efficiency. Washington benched Dwayne Haskins Jr. after 4 lackluster video games, with considerations about his maturation as an NFL quarterback. Allen is aware of the offense higher, having performed beneath Ron Rivera with the Panthers, and the coaches are hoping Allen makes the performs they really feel have been accessible. However Allen has to maintain the ball; he turned it over 15 instances in his final seven begins with Carolina in 2019. That features three misplaced fumbles, so he should do a greater job towards a staff that ranks fifth within the NFL with 12 sacks. — John Keim
Daring prediction: Rams operating again Darrell Henderson Jr., who was quiet in Week 3, will escape for the second 100-yard dashing recreation of his profession. The Rams are coming off an uninspiring offensive efficiency towards the Giants, so look ahead to L.A. to ascertain the operating recreation early towards a Washington staff that’s permitting a median of 129.8 dashing yards per recreation. — Lindsey Thiry
Stat to know: Washington is simply 33.3% in changing on third down this season, the worst mark within the NFL. And that is really an enchancment from 2019, when it was 29.1% (additionally final).
What to know for fantasy: Washington operating again Antonio Gibson has a dashing rating and no less than 12 touches in three straight video games. Throughout these three video games, his 1.16 PPR factors per contact ranks eighth amongst qualifiers — forward of Dalvin Cook amongst others. See Week 5 rankings.
Betting nugget: The Rams are 6-2 ATS as a street favourite of no less than six factors beneath Sean McVay. Read more.
Thiry’s choose: Rams 32, Washington 17
Keim’s choose: Rams 24, Washington 23
FPI prediction: LAR, 70.9% (by a median of seven.6 factors)
Matchup must-reads: How Ramsey makes the Rams better: ‘His swag is contagious’ … Haskins’ benching a signal his NFL future isn’t in Washington … Rams are running their way back into contention … Ron Rivera draws on lifetime of lessons to face cancer, chaos in Washington … Rams’ Ramsey, Giants’ Tate trade punches after game
Damien Woody believes that bench Washington QB Dwayne Haskins hasn’t been given a ample period of time to be correctly evaluated.
1 p.m. ET | Fox
Matchup ranking: 37.9 | Spread: ATL -1.5 (54)
What to observe for: The Falcons desperately want a win with Dan Quinn’s job standing in limbo, however the coach has preached to his staff that the primary NFC South recreation provides an opportunity for a brand new begin. Though vast receiver Julio Jones‘ well being scenario stays unclear as he comes off a hamstring damage, the Falcons are on monitor to get some key gamers again in A.J. Terrell, Ricardo Allen and Takkarist McKinley. The sense of desperation ought to have the Falcons clicking higher within the first residence recreation with followers. — Vaughn McClure
Daring prediction: The Panthers will depart Atlanta above .500. That’s about as daring because it will get for a staff that began the yr 0-2, opened as a 2.5-point underdog to an 0-4 staff and hasn’t gained at Atlanta since 2014. However the Panthers have momentum with two straight wins. — David Newton
Stat to know: The Falcons are 0-4 for the primary time since 1999, and a loss to Carolina would mark their first 0-5 begin since 1997.
What to know for fantasy: Carolina operating again Mike Davis is averaging seven receptions per recreation this season, not a lot totally different than the 7.3 grabs Christian McCaffrey averaged throughout his historic 2019. See Week 5 rankings.
Newton’s choose: Panthers 30, Falcons 24
McClure’s choose: Falcons 28, Panthers 21
FPI prediction: ATL, 55.0% (by a median of 1.8 factors)
Matchup must-reads: From mentor to boss, Panthers’ Matt Rhule quick to credit DC Phil Snow … Falcons activate cornerback Terrell from COVID-19 list … Panthers are taking ‘F-I-O’ approach to being a factor in NFC South … Injuries not an excuse, but are an explanation for Falcons’ 0-4 start … Bridgewater-Joe Brady combo could have Panthers competing in NFC
1 p.m. ET | CBS
Matchup ranking: 23.7 | Spread: HOU -6 (54.5)
What to observe for: The Texans have not topped 23 factors even as soon as in 4 video games this season, however the Jaguars have allowed 30 or extra in three straight video games. Will Houston’s offense rebound within the first recreation because the firing of Invoice O’Brien on Monday? That is their greatest matchup of the season to date and place to get going after a lackluster begin. — Sarah Barshop
Daring prediction: Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson will throw for 330-plus yards and 4 TDs. The Jaguars’ cross protection has been dangerous over the previous month; they can not get strain, and the protection has been spotty, at greatest. Watson should not have any bother transferring the ball. And even when rookie cornerback CJ Henderson performs, he’s coping with a shoulder damage and has been simply OK after a formidable debut within the season opener. — Mike DiRocco
Stat to know: Romeo Crennel will turn into the oldest head coach in NFL historical past. The Texans’ interim will likely be 73 years, 115 days outdated on Sunday. Solely George Halas and Marv Levy have coached a recreation at over 70 years outdated, per Elias Sports activities Bureau information.
Betting nugget: Groups that change their head coach through the season are 14-22 ATS within the first recreation with their successor since 2000 (13-23 straight up). Read more.
DiRocco’s choose: Texans 35, Jaguars 20
Barshop’s choose: Texans 31, Jaguars 20
FPI prediction: HOU, 66.6% (by a median of 5.9 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Jaguars’ D on pace to be worst in team history … Crennel wants better attitude, energy … Jaguars CB Hayden goes on IR with hamstring injury … Texans’ outlook bleak with no wins, no impact rookies, no top picks … Jags’ pass rush continues to struggle … Easterby to serve as GM for rest of season
1 p.m. ET | Fox
Matchup ranking: 22.4 | Spread: ARI -7 (46.5)
What to observe for: Overlook about elite; Jets quarterback Joe Flacco, beginning for the injured Sam Darnold, will likely be hard-pressed to succeed in “common.” He hasn’t began a recreation in practically a yr, and he has had little or no observe time after lacking coaching camp. A rusty, motionless quarterback behind a leaky offensive line just isn’t mixture. The Jets are thirty first in pink zone effectivity, whereas the Arizona protection is fourth. Do the maths. — Wealthy Cimini
Daring prediction: The Cardinals will put up 40 on the lowly Jets, who’re permitting 32.8 factors per recreation, the third most within the NFL. The Cardinals are averaging 24.5 factors per recreation, however their offense is due for a breakout after struggling over the previous two weeks. And what’s a greater time to do it than towards one of many worst groups in soccer? — Josh Weinfuss
Stat to know: Arizona wideout DeAndre Hopkins has 39 receptions, which leads the NFL. He wants 9 towards the Jets to interrupt the document for essentially the most catches by means of a staff’s first 5 video games of a season.
What to know for fantasy: Arizona QB Kyler Murray and Buffalo QB Josh Allen are the one two gamers, no matter place, with no less than 21 fantasy factors in all 4 weeks this season. See Week 5 rankings.
Betting nugget: The Jets are 0-4 ATS this season. They’re failing to cowl video games by 10.5 factors per recreation, the worst cowl differential within the NFL this season. Read more.
Weinfuss’ choose: Cardinals 42, Jets 28
Cimini’s choose: Cardinals 24, Jets 13
FPI prediction: ARI, 57.1% (by a median of two.5 factors)
4:05 p.m. ET | Fox
Matchup ranking: 52.3 | Spread: SF -9 (49.5)
What to observe for: How will the 49ers bounce again after a disappointing defeat final week? The Niners have dropped each of their residence video games, and although final week’s loss to Philadelphia might be defined by a mixture of accidents and a hangover from a protracted keep out East, they need to have that out of their system and might be welcoming again extra key items. The Dolphins, in the meantime, must make one of many league’s longest journeys for this one. If the Niners fall to 2-3 earlier than getting into the meat of their schedule, their postseason hopes may slip away sooner slightly than later. — Nick Wagoner
Daring prediction: Dolphins operating again Matt Breida breaks off a 50-plus-yard landing towards his former staff. Breida has had just one play over 11 yards to date this yr in a surprisingly restricted function, however he has began to indicate extra of his explosiveness and figures to have a much bigger function on this recreation towards a banged-up 49ers protection. Breida spent the primary three years of his profession with the 49ers earlier than being traded for a fifth-round choose in a draft weekend deal, and although he does not have any animosity towards his former staff, it is doubtless he’ll need to show they made a mistake. — Cameron Wolfe
Stat to know: 49ers tight finish George Kittle posted 183 receiving yards in Week 4 for his ninth profession recreation of 100-plus yards. However he has by no means had consecutive video games with no less than 100 receiving yards.
What to know for fantasy: Miami vast receiver DeVante Parker‘s yardage complete has elevated every week this season, and he has 21.8 extra factors by means of 4 weeks this season than he did throughout his 2019 breakout. See Week 5 rankings.
Betting nugget: San Francisco is 6-11-1 ATS at residence over the previous three seasons. Read more.
Wolfe’s choose: 49ers 27, Dolphins 23
Wagoner’s choose: 49ers 27, Dolphins 19
FPI prediction: SF, 78.7% (by a median of 10.9 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Dolphins’ Tagovailoa has yet to take a snap, but he’s still learning … 49ers’ offensive reinforcements can’t come soon enough … Projected 2021 NFL draft order: Dolphins could have two top-10 picks … 49ers QB Garoppolo, RB Mostert return to practice
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS
Matchup ranking: 56.5 | Spread: IND -2 (47)
What to observe for: Cleveland’s NFL-leading operating recreation — now with out Nick Chubb — is up towards Indy’s top-five run protection. This needs to be a litmus assessments for each side in a real matchup of power towards power. — Jake Trotter
Daring prediction: The Colts will hand over 125 yards dashing. Indianapolis will preserve the Browns’ dashing offense in test many of the recreation, no matter whether or not the Colts have linebacker Darius Leonard (groin). However Indy will hand over one massive “chunk” run that can wind up hurting it within the fourth quarter. — Mike Wells
Stat to know: Colts receiver T.Y. Hilton has now gone 15 straight video games with fewer than 100 receiving yards, relationship again to 2018. It is the longest streak of his profession; his final recreation with 100-plus yards got here with Andrew Luck at QB.
What to know for fantasy: Browns wideout Odell Beckham Jr.‘s 38.4 PPR factors final week led all receivers and ranked third throughout all positions. However can he maintain the success? He hasn’t had consecutive 25-point video games since Weeks 13 and 14 of the 2015 season. See Week 5 rankings.
Betting nugget: Indianapolis has had three straight video games go beneath the whole, and it has coated all three video games. Read more.
Wells’ choose: Browns 24, Colts 17
Trotter’s choose: Browns 21, Colts 20
FPI prediction: CLE, 50.2% (by a median of 0.2 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Colts’ No. 1-ranked defense shifts coach Frank Reich’s strategy … Browns can still have NFL’s best rushing attack — even without Chubb … Colts QB Rivers toes the line on friendly trash talk … Browns’ Beckham Jr. shows why he’s still an elite playmaker … Colts continue to be NFL’s stingiest defense in victory over Bears … Browns’ Njoku activated off IR, could play Sunday
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS
Matchup ranking: 39.9 | Spread: DAL -10 (54)
What to observe for: New York offensive coordinator Jason Garrett’s unit must get going towards the Dallas protection. Of their previous three video games, the Cowboys’ protection has allowed 4, 5 and 6 touchdowns to Atlanta, Seattle and Cleveland, respectively. The Giants have scored three TDs of their first 4 video games, however the Cowboys’ protection is likely to be the right slumpbuster. — Todd Archer
Daring prediction: Dallas vast receiver Michael Gallup tops 100 yards with 2 TDs. Overlook that Gallup is coming off a quiet recreation (2-58-0) towards the Falcons. The Giants’ defensive weak point is that No. 2 cornerback throughout from James Bradberry. Whether or not it is Isaac Yiadom or Ryan Lewis on the market, anticipate Dak Prescott to use the matchup, resulting in an enormous day for Gallup. — Jordan Raanan
Stat to know: The Giants have simply 306 dashing yards this season, second worst within the NFL and the eighth-fewest complete although 4 video games in franchise historical past. Solely twice have they been held beneath 350 dashing yards by means of 5 video games (1942 and 2013).
What to know for fantasy: Prescott’s torrid tempo can’t be overstated, however remember that there are solely six quarterbacks (Prescott being certainly one of them) to have scored extra fantasy factors than the Cowboys have allowed to the place. See Week 5 rankings.
Betting nugget: Dallas is 10-2 ATS towards the NFC East over the previous three seasons. Read more.
Raanan’s choose: Cowboys 24, Giants 16
Archer’s choose: Cowboys 31,Giants 24
FPI prediction: DAL, 79.4% (by a median of 11.3 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Jones’ first 16 starts: Enough positives to give Giants hope … Cowboys’ Elliott says he must focus on curtailing fumbles … The NFC East is 3-12-1: Here is the big issue and a fix for each team … Look familiar? Mike McCarthy’s Cowboys face ex-coach Jason Garrett, Giants … Dallas Cowboys might be getting needed help on defense
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC
Matchup ranking: 69 | Spread: SEA -7 (57.5)
What to observe for: Can Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson proceed his historic begin and his excellence in prime time? He has thrown 16 landing passes this season, tied for essentially the most in NFL historical past by means of a staff’s first 4 video games. And he has a mixed 26-7-1 document over his profession in Sunday night time, Monday night time and Thursday night time video games. — Brady Henderson
Daring prediction: Seattle attaining its first 5-0 begin in franchise historical past is not that daring. You understand what’s? Wilson and the Seahawks conducting that feat despite Vikings wideouts Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen every scoring a landing and posting over 100 yards receiving. Seattle’s protection has allowed 94 catches and 1,345 yards to receivers within the first 4 video games of the season, and that pattern is about to proceed in Week 5. It is going to take Wilson one other shootout to beat the Vikings on Sunday Evening Soccer. — Courtney Cronin
Stat to know: Minnesota operating again Dalvin Cook dinner has 424 dashing yards this season, essentially the most within the NFL. The very best complete for a Vikings participant by means of 5 video games up to now 20 seasons is 607 by Adrian Peterson in 2007.
What to know for fantasy: Cook dinner’s contact depend has elevated every week this season, and he ranks as RB3 regardless of rating sixteenth in anticipated fantasy factors per rush. See Week 5 rankings.
Cronin’s choose: Seahawks 38, Vikings 31
Henderson’s choose: Seahawks 31, Vikings 24
FPI prediction: SEA, 66.5% (by a median of 5.9 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Vikings’ Cook punishing tacklers on way to NFL rushing lead … Seahawks’ Carson adds another gutty performance to extension resume … Vikings find their formula for success in first win of season … Like Curry, Seahawks’ Wilson outstanding from long range
With the Seahawks dealing with a cross pleasant Vikings protection, Mike Clay has excessive expectations for Seattle receivers Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf.
What to observe for: The Patriots had an unconventional week, going all digital on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday, which means there was no on-field observe. How does observe execution turn into recreation actuality when there isn’t any observe? In the meantime, the Broncos even have had a protracted week after enjoying on Thursday night time in Week 4. Benefit goes to Denver in the remainder division. — Mike Reiss
Daring prediction: Both Broncos tight finish Jake Butt or operating again Phillip Lindsay will accumulate his first landing reception of the season. Why? As a result of they will must. Patriots coach Invoice Belichick has made a profession out of eradicating the No. 1, and sometimes No. 2, choices within the passing recreation to check a quarterback’s endurance and skill to work by means of the reads. Solely Seattle, in Russell Wilson’s five-TD binge in Week 2, was capable of persistently get its high targets free. (Each Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf had landing catches in that recreation.) If the Broncos cannot get among the “different” guys into the tip zone, will probably be a tough night. — Jeff Legwold
Stat to know: Patriots defensive finish Chase Winovich ranks fifth within the NFL with a 29.5% cross rush win fee (PRWR), an ESPN metric utilizing NFL Subsequent Gen Stats, and leads league with a 40% PRWR towards double-teams.
Betting nugget: New England is 10-0 ATS in tilts that comply with fewer than six days of relaxation because the begin of the 2016 season. Read more.
Legwold’s choose: Broncos 23, Patriots 21
Reiss’ choose: Patriots 24, Broncos 13
FPI prediction: NE, 60.2% (by a median of three.6 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Rypien the latest, greatest Broncos starting quarterback … Patriots players, coaches confront reality of positive COVID-19 tests … Broncos’ Chubb ‘hungry’ for more after 2.5 sacks against Jets … Patriots coach Bill Belichick: Taking Newton, QB situation ‘day by day’
What to observe for: This will likely be a enjoyable quarterback duel between 20-year veteran Drew Brees and rookie Justin Herbert. However what actually defines this matchup, sadly, is the overwhelming variety of accidents which have plagued each side. The Saints may doubtlessly get Michael Thomas again from his Week 1 ankle damage. In the meantime, the Chargers simply misplaced dynamic operating again Austin Ekeler for 4 to 6 weeks with a hamstring damage. — Mike Triplett
Daring prediction: The Chargers will lastly get a win now that Herbert has been named the common beginning QB. He’ll go into the sport with confidence, however the Chargers have to cease beating themselves with turnovers. — Shelley Smith
Stat to know: Brees was 5-for-8 for 111 yards and a landing on throws of 15-plus yards downfield in Week 4. Within the first three video games of the marketing campaign, he had simply seven such completions and nil touchdowns.
What to know for fantasy: Saints operating again Alvin Kamara has been a top-10 RB each week this season and is pacing for 320 touches (present profession excessive is 275). See Week 5 rankings.
Betting nugget: New Orleans is 6-9 ATS over the previous 5 seasons when favored by seven or extra factors at residence. Read more.
Smith’s choose: Chargers 24, Saints 17
Triplett’s choose: Saints 29, Chargers 23
FPI prediction: NO, 76.2% (by a median of 9.8 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Fumbles, injuries put Chargers rookie Kelley in the spotlight … Source: Saints don’t anticipate relocation of MNF game due to hurricane … Saints’ Brees builds connection with Sanders, Smith
Tuesday, 7 p.m. ET | CBS
Matchup ranking: 62.2 | Spread: BUF -8.5 (NA)
What to observe for: The Titans are with out a number of key gamers, together with Adam Humphries, Jeffery Simmons and Corey Davis, who’ve been positioned on the reserve/COVID-19 checklist. And the staff hasn’t practiced or been in its facility to arrange for this recreation. Regulate how they begin the sport after having a lot time without work. If Tennessee will get off to a gradual begin, this might get ugly shortly. — Turron Davenport
Daring prediction: The Payments lastly get lose within the operating recreation for no less than 150 yards. They rank twenty eighth within the league in dashing yards per recreation, however the Titans rank twenty ninth in dashing yards allowed. It is a true matchup of a stoppable power assembly a movable object. However Buffalo’s rating appears extra like an outlier, given its top-10 end final season and improved backfield. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Stat to know: Tennessee quarterback Ryan Tannehill is averaging 11.2 yards per try with play-action (fourth) however simply 5.9 per try with out play-action (twenty eighth).
What to know for fantasy: Final week, Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen tied the longest streak in Payments historical past along with his fourth straight recreation of 280 passing yards and a number of landing passes. The one different occasion of that for the Payments was Drew Bledsoe in 2002. See Week 5 rankings.
Betting nugget: Tennessee is the third staff in Tremendous Bowl period to start out 3-0 straight up and 0-3 towards the unfold (ATS). Read more.
Louis-Jacques’ choose: Payments 38, Titans 24
Davenport’s choose: Payments 35, Titans 21
FPI prediction: BUF, 52.4% (by a median of 0.9 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Bills’ Allen evoking MVP seasons by Mahomes, Jackson … Source: Titans informed of rules prior to players’ informal workouts … Norman brings ‘a lot of energy,’ a forced fumble in Bills debut … Timeline of the NFL COVID-19 outbreak: How positive tests led to postponed games